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Does Admiral Group plc's (LON:ADM) Recent Track Record Look Strong?

Simply Wall St

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Today I will examine Admiral Group plc's (LON:ADM) latest earnings update (31 December 2018) and compare these figures against its performance over the past couple of years, in addition to how the rest of ADM's industry performed. As a long-term investor, I find it useful to analyze the company's trend over time in order to estimate whether or not the company is able to meet its goals, and eventually grow sustainably over time.

See our latest analysis for Admiral Group

Did ADM beat its long-term earnings growth trend and its industry?

ADM's trailing twelve-month earnings (from 31 December 2018) of UK£395m has jumped 18% compared to the previous year.

Furthermore, this one-year growth rate has exceeded its 5-year annual growth average of 3.8%, indicating the rate at which ADM is growing has accelerated. What's enabled this growth? Well, let’s take a look at if it is merely because of an industry uplift, or if Admiral Group has experienced some company-specific growth.

LSE:ADM Income Statement, July 19th 2019

In terms of returns from investment, Admiral Group has invested its equity funds well leading to a 51% return on equity (ROE), above the sensible minimum of 20%. Furthermore, its return on assets (ROA) of 6.0% exceeds the GB Insurance industry of 1.3%, indicating Admiral Group has used its assets more efficiently. However, its return on capital (ROC), which also accounts for Admiral Group’s debt level, has declined over the past 3 years from 19% to 16%. This correlates with an increase in debt holding, with debt-to-equity ratio rising from 0.02% to 58% over the past 5 years.

What does this mean?

Though Admiral Group's past data is helpful, it is only one aspect of my investment thesis. While Admiral Group has a good historical track record with positive growth and profitability, there's no certainty that this will extrapolate into the future. You should continue to research Admiral Group to get a more holistic view of the stock by looking at:

  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for ADM’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for ADM’s outlook.
  2. Financial Health: Are ADM’s operations financially sustainable? Balance sheets can be hard to analyze, which is why we’ve done it for you. Check out our financial health checks here.
  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the trailing twelve months from 31 December 2018. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.