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How Does Alliance Pharma's (LON:APH) P/E Compare To Its Industry, After The Share Price Drop?

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Alliance Pharma (LON:APH) share price has dived 31% in the last thirty days. Even longer term holders have taken a real hit with the stock declining 6.9% in the last year.

Assuming nothing else has changed, a lower share price makes a stock more attractive to potential buyers. While the market sentiment towards a stock is very changeable, in the long run, the share price will tend to move in the same direction as earnings per share. So, on certain occasions, long term focussed investors try to take advantage of pessimistic expectations to buy shares at a better price. Perhaps the simplest way to get a read on investors' expectations of a business is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). Investors have optimistic expectations of companies with higher P/E ratios, compared to companies with lower P/E ratios.

Check out our latest analysis for Alliance Pharma

Does Alliance Pharma Have A Relatively High Or Low P/E For Its Industry?

Alliance Pharma's P/E is 14.26. You can see in the image below that the average P/E (14.6) for companies in the pharmaceuticals industry is roughly the same as Alliance Pharma's P/E.

AIM:APH Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 19th 2020
AIM:APH Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 19th 2020

Its P/E ratio suggests that Alliance Pharma shareholders think that in the future it will perform about the same as other companies in its industry classification. So if Alliance Pharma actually outperforms its peers going forward, that should be a positive for the share price. Further research into factors such as insider buying and selling, could help you form your own view on whether that is likely.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

When earnings fall, the 'E' decreases, over time. Therefore, even if you pay a low multiple of earnings now, that multiple will become higher in the future. A higher P/E should indicate the stock is expensive relative to others -- and that may encourage shareholders to sell.

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Alliance Pharma shrunk earnings per share by 19% over the last year. But EPS is up 4.7% over the last 5 years. And it has shrunk its earnings per share by 4.7% per year over the last three years. This might lead to low expectations.

Remember: P/E Ratios Don't Consider The Balance Sheet

It's important to note that the P/E ratio considers the market capitalization, not the enterprise value. Thus, the metric does not reflect cash or debt held by the company. The exact same company would hypothetically deserve a higher P/E ratio if it had a strong balance sheet, than if it had a weak one with lots of debt, because a cashed up company can spend on growth.

While growth expenditure doesn't always pay off, the point is that it is a good option to have; but one that the P/E ratio ignores.

Is Debt Impacting Alliance Pharma's P/E?

Alliance Pharma has net debt worth 24% of its market capitalization. This could bring some additional risk, and reduce the number of investment options for management; worth remembering if you compare its P/E to businesses without debt.

The Bottom Line On Alliance Pharma's P/E Ratio

Alliance Pharma trades on a P/E ratio of 14.3, which is above its market average of 11.2. With modest debt but no EPS growth in the last year, it's fair to say the P/E implies some optimism about future earnings, from the market. Given Alliance Pharma's P/E ratio has declined from 20.5 to 14.3 in the last month, we know for sure that the market is significantly less confident about the business today, than it was back then. For those who prefer to invest with the flow of momentum, that might be a bad sign, but for a contrarian, it may signal opportunity.

When the market is wrong about a stock, it gives savvy investors an opportunity. People often underestimate remarkable growth -- so investors can make money when fast growth is not fully appreciated. So this free report on the analyst consensus forecasts could help you make a master move on this stock.

Of course you might be able to find a better stock than Alliance Pharma. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have grown earnings strongly.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.