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Does The Games Workshop Group PLC (LON:GAW) Share Price Tend To Follow The Market?

If you’re interested in Games Workshop Group PLC (LON:GAW), then you might want to consider its beta (a measure of share price volatility) in order to understand how the stock could impact your portfolio. Modern finance theory considers volatility to be a measure of risk, and there are two main types of price volatility. First, we have company specific volatility, which is the price gyrations of an individual stock. Holding at least 8 stocks can reduce this kind of risk across a portfolio. The second sort is caused by the natural volatility of markets, overall. For example, certain macroeconomic events will impact (virtually) all stocks on the market.

Some stocks are more sensitive to general market forces than others. Beta is a widely used metric to measure a stock’s exposure to market risk (volatility). Before we go on, it’s worth noting that Warren Buffett pointed out in his 2014 letter to shareholders that ‘volatility is far from synonymous with risk.’ Having said that, beta can still be rather useful. The first thing to understand about beta is that the beta of the overall market is one. A stock with a beta greater than one is more sensitive to broader market movements than a stock with a beta of less than one.

View our latest analysis for Games Workshop Group

What GAW’s beta value tells investors

Given that it has a beta of 0.87, we can surmise that the Games Workshop Group share price has not been strongly impacted by broader market volatility (over the last 5 years). This suggests that including it in your portfolio will reduce volatility arising from broader market movements, assuming your portfolio’s weighted average beta is higher than 0.87. Beta is worth considering, but it’s also important to consider whether Games Workshop Group is growing earnings and revenue. You can take a look for yourself, below.

LSE:GAW Income Statement Export November 13th 18
LSE:GAW Income Statement Export November 13th 18

How does GAW’s size impact its beta?

Games Workshop Group is a small company, but not tiny and little known. It has a market capitalisation of UK£1.0b, which means it would be on the radar of intstitutional investors. Small companies often have a high beta value, but they can be heavily influenced by company-specific events. This might explain why this stock has a low beta.

What this means for you:

One potential advantage of owning low beta stocks like Games Workshop Group is that your overall portfolio won’t be too sensitive to overall market movements. However, this can be a blessing or a curse, depending on what’s happening in the broader market. In order to fully understand whether GAW is a good investment for you, we also need to consider important company-specific fundamentals such as Games Workshop Group’s financial health and performance track record. I highly recommend you dive deeper by considering the following:

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  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for GAW’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for GAW’s outlook.

  2. Past Track Record: Has GAW been consistently performing well irrespective of the ups and downs in the market? Go into more detail in the past performance analysis and take a look at the free visual representations of GAW’s historicals for more clarity.

  3. Other Interesting Stocks: It’s worth checking to see how GAW measures up against other companies on valuation. You could start with this free list of prospective options.

To help readers see past the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned. For errors that warrant correction please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com.