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How Does Grenke's (ETR:GLJ) P/E Compare To Its Industry, After The Share Price Drop?

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Grenke (ETR:GLJ) shares are down a considerable 56% in the last month. That drop has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 47% in that time.

Assuming nothing else has changed, a lower share price makes a stock more attractive to potential buyers. While the market sentiment towards a stock is very changeable, in the long run, the share price will tend to move in the same direction as earnings per share. So, on certain occasions, long term focussed investors try to take advantage of pessimistic expectations to buy shares at a better price. Perhaps the simplest way to get a read on investors' expectations of a business is to look at its Price to Earnings Ratio (PE Ratio). A high P/E ratio means that investors have a high expectation about future growth, while a low P/E ratio means they have low expectations about future growth.

See our latest analysis for Grenke

Does Grenke Have A Relatively High Or Low P/E For Its Industry?

Grenke's P/E of 14.82 indicates some degree of optimism towards the stock. As you can see below, Grenke has a higher P/E than the average company (8.7) in the diversified financial industry.

XTRA:GLJ Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 20th 2020
XTRA:GLJ Price Estimation Relative to Market, March 20th 2020

Its relatively high P/E ratio indicates that Grenke shareholders think it will perform better than other companies in its industry classification. Clearly the market expects growth, but it isn't guaranteed. So further research is always essential. I often monitor director buying and selling.

How Growth Rates Impact P/E Ratios

Generally speaking the rate of earnings growth has a profound impact on a company's P/E multiple. That's because companies that grow earnings per share quickly will rapidly increase the 'E' in the equation. And in that case, the P/E ratio itself will drop rather quickly. So while a stock may look expensive based on past earnings, it could be cheap based on future earnings.

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Grenke saw earnings per share improve by 4.8% last year. And earnings per share have improved by 15% annually, over the last five years.

Remember: P/E Ratios Don't Consider The Balance Sheet

The 'Price' in P/E reflects the market capitalization of the company. That means it doesn't take debt or cash into account. Hypothetically, a company could reduce its future P/E ratio by spending its cash (or taking on debt) to achieve higher earnings.

While growth expenditure doesn't always pay off, the point is that it is a good option to have; but one that the P/E ratio ignores.

How Does Grenke's Debt Impact Its P/E Ratio?

Grenke has net debt worth a very significant 216% of its market capitalization. If you want to compare its P/E ratio to other companies, you must keep in mind that these debt levels would usually warrant a relatively low P/E.

The Bottom Line On Grenke's P/E Ratio

Grenke trades on a P/E ratio of 14.8, which is fairly close to the DE market average of 15.2. With meaningful debt and only modest earnings growth, the market seems to be expecting a steady performance going forward. Given Grenke's P/E ratio has declined from 33.8 to 14.8 in the last month, we know for sure that the market is significantly less confident about the business today, than it was back then. For those who prefer to invest with the flow of momentum, that might be a bad sign, but for a contrarian, it may signal opportunity.

Investors should be looking to buy stocks that the market is wrong about. As value investor Benjamin Graham famously said, 'In the short run, the market is a voting machine but in the long run, it is a weighing machine. So this free visualization of the analyst consensus on future earnings could help you make the right decision about whether to buy, sell, or hold.

Of course you might be able to find a better stock than Grenke. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have grown earnings strongly.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.