Advertisement
UK markets close in 2 hours 52 minutes
  • FTSE 100

    8,132.01
    -34.75 (-0.43%)
     
  • FTSE 250

    20,193.34
    -28.74 (-0.14%)
     
  • AIM

    763.88
    -1.30 (-0.17%)
     
  • GBP/EUR

    1.1798
    +0.0024 (+0.20%)
     
  • GBP/USD

    1.2657
    +0.0007 (+0.06%)
     
  • Bitcoin GBP

    49,568.61
    -0.48 (-0.00%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,342.47
    -2.03 (-0.15%)
     
  • S&P 500

    5,475.09
    +14.61 (+0.27%)
     
  • DOW

    39,169.52
    +50.66 (+0.13%)
     
  • CRUDE OIL

    84.19
    +0.81 (+0.97%)
     
  • GOLD FUTURES

    2,331.90
    -7.00 (-0.30%)
     
  • NIKKEI 225

    40,074.69
    +443.63 (+1.12%)
     
  • HANG SENG

    17,769.14
    +50.53 (+0.29%)
     
  • DAX

    18,087.72
    -202.94 (-1.11%)
     
  • CAC 40

    7,503.60
    -57.53 (-0.76%)
     

Is Grand Canyon Education, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:LOPE) Recent Stock Performance Influenced By Its Financials In Any Way?

Most readers would already know that Grand Canyon Education's (NASDAQ:LOPE) stock increased by 3.2% over the past week. As most would know, long-term fundamentals have a strong correlation with market price movements, so we decided to look at the company's key financial indicators today to determine if they have any role to play in the recent price movement. In this article, we decided to focus on Grand Canyon Education's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

See our latest analysis for Grand Canyon Education

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

ADVERTISEMENT

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Grand Canyon Education is:

28% = US$213m ÷ US$759m (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. Another way to think of that is that for every $1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn $0.28 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Grand Canyon Education's Earnings Growth And 28% ROE

Firstly, we acknowledge that Grand Canyon Education has a significantly high ROE. Additionally, the company's ROE is higher compared to the industry average of 13% which is quite remarkable. Needless to say, we are quite surprised to see that Grand Canyon Education's net income shrunk at a rate of 5.7% over the past five years. We reckon that there could be some other factors at play here that are preventing the company's growth. These include low earnings retention or poor allocation of capital.

So, as a next step, we compared Grand Canyon Education's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 19% over the last few years.

past-earnings-growth
past-earnings-growth

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. What is LOPE worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether LOPE is currently mispriced by the market.

Is Grand Canyon Education Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Grand Canyon Education doesn't pay any regular dividends, meaning that potentially all of its profits are being reinvested in the business, which doesn't explain why the company's earnings have shrunk if it is retaining all of its profits. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

Conclusion

In total, it does look like Grand Canyon Education has some positive aspects to its business. Yet, the low earnings growth is a bit concerning, especially given that the company has a high rate of return and is reinvesting ma huge portion of its profits. By the looks of it, there could be some other factors, not necessarily in control of the business, that's preventing growth. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com