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Should You Investigate Banca Mediolanum S.p.A. (BIT:BMED) At €8.15?

Banca Mediolanum S.p.A. (BIT:BMED), which is in the diversified financial business, and is based in Italy, received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the BIT over the last few months, increasing to €9.31 at one point, and dropping to the lows of €7.69. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Banca Mediolanum's current trading price of €8.15 reflective of the actual value of the mid-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Banca Mediolanum’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

View our latest analysis for Banca Mediolanum

What's the opportunity in Banca Mediolanum?

According to my relative valuation model, the stock seems to be currently fairly priced. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that Banca Mediolanum’s ratio of 22.28x is trading slightly above its industry peers’ ratio of 21.27x, which means if you buy Banca Mediolanum today, you’d be paying a relatively fair price for it. And if you believe that Banca Mediolanum should be trading at this level in the long run, there’s only an insignificant downside when the price falls to its real value. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Banca Mediolanum’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

Can we expect growth from Banca Mediolanum?

BIT:BMED Past and Future Earnings, February 3rd 2020
BIT:BMED Past and Future Earnings, February 3rd 2020

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Banca Mediolanum’s earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 70%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in BMED’s positive outlook, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the financial strength of the company. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at BMED? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below its fair value?

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Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on BMED, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for BMED, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Price is just the tip of the iceberg. Dig deeper into what truly matters – the fundamentals – before you make a decision on Banca Mediolanum. You can find everything you need to know about Banca Mediolanum in the latest infographic research report. If you are no longer interested in Banca Mediolanum, you can use our free platform to see my list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.