Advertisement
UK markets close in 1 minute
  • FTSE 100

    8,141.69
    +62.83 (+0.78%)
     
  • FTSE 250

    19,816.99
    +215.01 (+1.10%)
     
  • AIM

    755.46
    +2.34 (+0.31%)
     
  • GBP/EUR

    1.1662
    +0.0006 (+0.05%)
     
  • GBP/USD

    1.2455
    -0.0056 (-0.45%)
     
  • Bitcoin GBP

    50,929.79
    -137.52 (-0.27%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,324.87
    -71.67 (-5.13%)
     
  • S&P 500

    5,097.83
    +49.41 (+0.98%)
     
  • DOW

    38,166.93
    +81.13 (+0.21%)
     
  • CRUDE OIL

    83.73
    +0.16 (+0.19%)
     
  • GOLD FUTURES

    2,344.90
    +2.40 (+0.10%)
     
  • NIKKEI 225

    37,934.76
    +306.28 (+0.81%)
     
  • HANG SENG

    17,651.15
    +366.61 (+2.12%)
     
  • DAX

    18,162.85
    +245.57 (+1.37%)
     
  • CAC 40

    8,093.26
    +76.61 (+0.96%)
     

Investors Who Bought RPS Group (LON:RPS) Shares Five Years Ago Are Now Down 35%

While it may not be enough for some shareholders, we think it is good to see the RPS Group plc (LON:RPS) share price up 13% in a single quarter. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last five years have been less than pleasing. You would have done a lot better buying an index fund, since the stock has dropped 35% in that half decade.

Check out our latest analysis for RPS Group

While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

ADVERTISEMENT

RPS Group became profitable within the last five years. Most would consider that to be a good thing, so it's counter-intuitive to see the share price declining. Other metrics might give us a better handle on how its value is changing over time.

We note that the dividend has remained healthy, so that wouldn't really explain the share price drop. It's not immediately clear to us why the stock price is down but further research might provide some answers.

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

LSE:RPS Income Statement, November 25th 2019
LSE:RPS Income Statement, November 25th 2019

We consider it positive that insiders have made significant purchases in the last year. Even so, future earnings will be far more important to whether current shareholders make money. You can see what analysts are predicting for RPS Group in this interactive graph of future profit estimates.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, RPS Group's TSR for the last 5 years was -20%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

RPS Group shareholders are up 6.5% for the year (even including dividends) . But that was short of the market average. On the bright side, that's still a gain, and it is certainly better than the yearly loss of about 4.4% endured over half a decade. So this might be a sign the business has turned its fortunes around. It is all well and good that insiders have been buying shares, but we suggest you check here to see what price insiders were buying at.

RPS Group is not the only stock that insiders are buying. For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on GB exchanges.

If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned.

We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Thank you for reading.