Advertisement
UK markets closed
  • FTSE 100

    8,139.83
    +60.97 (+0.75%)
     
  • FTSE 250

    19,824.16
    +222.18 (+1.13%)
     
  • AIM

    755.28
    +2.16 (+0.29%)
     
  • GBP/EUR

    1.1676
    +0.0020 (+0.17%)
     
  • GBP/USD

    1.2493
    -0.0018 (-0.14%)
     
  • Bitcoin GBP

    51,078.02
    -665.74 (-1.29%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,330.64
    -65.90 (-4.72%)
     
  • S&P 500

    5,105.24
    +56.82 (+1.13%)
     
  • DOW

    38,264.38
    +178.58 (+0.47%)
     
  • CRUDE OIL

    83.65
    +0.08 (+0.10%)
     
  • GOLD FUTURES

    2,349.70
    +7.20 (+0.31%)
     
  • NIKKEI 225

    37,934.76
    +306.28 (+0.81%)
     
  • HANG SENG

    17,651.15
    +366.61 (+2.12%)
     
  • DAX

    18,161.01
    +243.73 (+1.36%)
     
  • CAC 40

    8,088.24
    +71.59 (+0.89%)
     

Can KBC Group NV (EBR:KBC) Survive The Next Financial Crisis?

As a large-cap stock with market capitalization of €28.08B, KBC Group NV (ENXTBR:KBC) is classified as a major bank. As these large financial institutions revert back to health after the Global Financial Crisis, we are seeing an increase in market confidence, and understanding of, these “too-big-to-fail” banking stocks. A set of reforms called Basel III was imposed in order to strengthen regulation, supervision and risk management in the banking sector. The Basel III reforms are aimed at banking regulations to improve financial institutions’ ability to absorb shocks caused by economic stress which could expose banks to vulnerabilities. KBC operates predominantly in EUR and is held to stringent regulation around the type and level of risk it can take on, exposing it to higher scrutiny on its risk-taking behaviour. Investors should be more cautious when it comes to financial stocks given the different type of risk to which they are exposed. Today we will analyse some bank-specific metrics and take a closer look at leverage and liquidity. View our latest analysis for KBC Group

ENXTBR:KBC Historical Debt Jun 15th 18
ENXTBR:KBC Historical Debt Jun 15th 18

Why Does KBC’s Leverage Matter?

A low level of leverage subjects a bank to less risk and enhances its ability to pay back its debtors. Leverage can be thought of as the amount of assets a bank owns relative to its shareholders’ funds. While financial companies will always have some leverage for a sufficient capital buffer, KBC Group’s leverage ratio of 16x is significantly below the appropriate ceiling of 20x. With assets 16 times equity, the banks has maintained a prudent level of its own fund relative to borrowed fund which places it in a strong position to pay back its debt in times of adverse events. If the bank needs to increase its debt levels to firm up its capital cushion, there is plenty of headroom to do so without deteriorating its financial position.

What Is KBC’s Level of Liquidity?

Handing Money Transparent
Handing Money Transparent

Due to its illiquid nature, loans are an important asset class we should learn more about. Usually, they should not be higher than 70% of total assets, which is the case for KBC Group, with a ratio well-below the maximum level at 48.50%. At this level of loan, the bank has preserved a high level of liquidity but perhaps at the cost of producing interest income from illiquid loan.

Does KBC Have Liquidity Mismatch?

KBC profits by lending out its customers’ deposits as loans and charge an interest on the principle. Loans are generally fixed term which means they cannot be readily realized, however, customer deposits are liabilities which must be repaid on-demand and in short notice. The discrepancy between loan assets and deposit liabilities threatens the bank’s financial position. If an adverse event occurs, it may not be well-placed to repay its depositors immediately. Compared to the appropriate industry loan to deposit level of 90%, KBC Group’s ratio of over 72.57% is sensibly lower and within the safe margin, which positions the bank cautiously in terms of liquidity as it has not disproportionately lent out its deposits and has retained an apt level of deposits.

Next Steps:

KBC Group passes all of our liquidity and leverage checks which shows it is prudent in managing those factors. This gives us confidence in the operational side of the business, an important aspect to consider before investing in the stock. Its high liquidity and low leverage levels mean the bank is well-positioned to meet its financial obligations in the case of any adverse and unpredictable macro events. We’ve only touched on operational risks for KBC in this article. But as a stock investment, there are other fundamentals you need to understand. There are three pertinent aspects you should further research:

ADVERTISEMENT
  1. Future Outlook: What are well-informed industry analysts predicting for KBC’s future growth? Take a look at our free research report of analyst consensus for KBC’s outlook.

  2. Valuation: What is KBC worth today? Has the future growth potential already been factored into the price? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether KBC is currently mispriced by the market.

  3. Other High-Performing Stocks: Are there other stocks that provide better prospects with proven track records? Explore our free list of these great stocks here.


To help readers see pass the short term volatility of the financial market, we aim to bring you a long-term focused research analysis purely driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis does not factor in the latest price sensitive company announcements.

The author is an independent contributor and at the time of publication had no position in the stocks mentioned.