LIVE MARKETS-Rushing into telecoms? Curb your enthusiasm!
* European shares dip in morning deals
* Trump says he expects to raise China tariffs
* STOXX 600 ended at 1-week high in previous session
* Thomas Cook (Frankfurt: A0MR3W - news) tanks on profit warning, dragging peers
Nov 27 - Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of European equity
markets brought to you by Reuters stocks reporters and anchored today by Danilo
Masoni. Reach him on Messenger to share your thoughts on market moves:
danilo.masoni.thomsonreuters.com@reuters.net
RUSHING INTO TELECOMS? CURB YOUR ENTHUSIASM! (1133 GMT)
Telecoms are shining for a second day after a Reuters report that
the European Commission was set to clear a merger in the Netherlands *without
conditions* fuelled fresh optimism about dealmaking in the sector. But not
everyone thinks we're already seeing the light at the end of the tunnel.
Among them is Ottavio Adorisio, analyst at Societe Generale (Swiss: 519928.SW - news) in London, who's
rather cautious on what the implications of the "apparent" about-turn in the EU
antitrust policy stance could be. (Sources familiar with the matter said that
Deutsche Telekom (IOB: 0MPH.IL - news) will win unconditional EU antitrust approval to buy
Tele2 (LSE: 0QE6.L - news) 's Dutch business:)
"The rally was mostly driven by investors covering their underweights.
Accordingly, it would be wise to wait until Friday to see first if there is any
substance behind yesterday's press rumours. Specifically, we would be looking at
the rationale underpinning any EU's decision. If that decision is unequivocally
tied to the unsustainability of Tele2's Dutch operations, we doubt it could have
a long-lasting impact on sector's fundamentals," he says.
By the way, he's underweight on telcos and the sector's underperformance
over the past three years seemsto be proving him right.
Somewhat less downbeat is Luigi Minerva, analyst at HSBC: "We would... be
cautious before making the read-across that broader sector consolidation is
immediately back on the table. However, we would additionally point out that
there will be a new European Commission next year, which could indeed provide
the conditions necessary for the more fundamental rethink on mobile
consolidation that we have long argued is urgently needed".
The EU will publish its decision on Nov 30.
(Danilo Masoni)
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OPENING SNAPSHOT: THOMAS COOK CRATERS, TELE2 RALLY EXTENDS (0855 GMT)
No shortage of news on the corporate and political front this morning, and
while European stocks made a valiant attempt at gains in early trades they
quickly buckled under the weight of trade uncertainty and falling metals prices.
Thomas Cook's 31 percent dive takes the biscuit in terms of drama: the
company's 2nd profit warning in as many months has knocked nearly a third off
the shares, taking its year-to-date performance to -73%... It's fall dragged
rival TUI (LSE: 0NLA.L - news) down 5.8 percent as well, bottom of the FTSE 100.
Tele2 is extending yesterday's gains after sources said the EU would approve
Deutsche Telekom's purchase of the firm's Dutch business. It's top of the STOXX
600 with a 7.5 percent gain.
In other big movers, Greggs (Stuttgart: 41G1.SG - news) is set for its best ever day on the market, up
as much as 16 percent, after the bakery and food-to-go chain reported strong
sales in October and November and said it expected higher 2018 profits.
Here's your snapshot with Europe's major country benchmarks:
(Helen Reid)
*****
WHAT YOU NEED TO KNOW BEFORE THE OPEN (0752 GMT)
European shares are expected to open little changed as the focus turns to
possible developments on the trade dispute between China and the US after Trump
said he expected to move ahead with slapping tariffs on more Chinese imports,
tempering optimism over Brexit and a possible Italian budget deal with Brussels.
Futures on the main euro zone benchmark was flat.
On the corporate front, eyes will be on AccorHotels after Europe's largest
hotels company stuck to its target of doubling core earnings to 1.2 billion
euros by 2022 anticipating a boost to future dividends, although it looks the
update hasn't inspired with its shares indicated down 1 percent. In the same
sector, however, Thomas Cook cut its earnings forecast for the second time in
two months, sending its shares falling 10 percent in pre-market trade.
Traders said they will also be watching shares in Alstom (LSE: 0J2R.L - news) and Siemens (BSE: SIEMENS.BO - news) after
the FT reported that the EU may ask for larger concession to clear their
proposed merger, while still on the M&A front, Credit Agricole (Swiss: ACA.SW - news) 's insurance unit
said started exclusive talks to buy Charterhouse Capital's 50 percent stake in
Comexposium. A disappointing Q3 update from Chinese instant noodle and beverage
maker Tingyi (HKSE: 0322-OL.HK - news) may weigh on Unilever (NYSE: UL - news) , as the European group also sells
small-ticket consumer staples and is exposed to Africa and Asia.
(Danilo Masoni)
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THOMAS COOK WARNING, TOPPS TILES STOCKS UP FOR BREXIT (0739 GMT)
In UK headlines this morning there's more evidence of companies tweaking
supply plans and preparing for the consequences of Brexit, with Britain's
biggest tile retailer Topps Tiles (LSE: TPT.L - news) saying it will increase inventory of important
products to protect against supply chain disruptions.
A second profit downgrade in two months from holiday company Thomas Cook,
which also suspended its dividend blaming a particularly weak home market, is
likely to steal the show today with traders predicting the stock will fall 10
percent or more.
Headlines to watch:
Topps Tiles to stock up ahead of Brexit
Thomas Cook cuts profit forecast again due to weak British market
Pets At Home (Frankfurt: A1XFE7 - news) to reorganise business amid cost pressures
British subprime lender Amigo posts rising profits and revenues
Greggs expects stronger 2018 profit after rise in Oct (Shenzhen: 000069.SZ - news) , Nov sales
Indivior (Frankfurt: 2IVA.F - news) to discuss strategy, contingency plans on Dec (Shanghai: 600875.SS - news) . 18
Some UK lawmakers could support PM May's deal if she gives her exit date -
The Times
(Helen Reid)
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HEADLINES ROUND-UP: EYES ON NOVARTIS, ACCOR (EUREX: 485822.EX - news) , CAIXABANK (Amsterdam: CB6.AS - news) (0655)
On the corporate front it looks rather quiet, although investors may keep an
eye on shares in AccorHotels and Spanish lender Caixabank
after their updates, whole Novartis (IOB: 0QLR.IL - news) could also be on the watch-list after its
Alcon unit, being spun off to investors next year, outlined its plans.
Here is your full headlines round up:
Alcon sees 2020 dividend, bolt-on purchases in life after
Novartis
AccorHotels sticks to goals for future earnings growth
Spain's Caixabank raises 2021 profitability target
Loxo, Bayer (IOB: 0P6S.IL - news) drug for cancers driven by rare mutation gets U.S. nod
StanChart (HKSE: 2888-OL.HK - news) planning to simplify structure to curb costs - Bloomberg
Airbus to resume deliveries to HNA Group after payments dispute
AccorHotels announces $500 mln offer for rest of Poland's Orbis
Vopak to buy 44 pct stake in Elengy Terminal Pakistan
Saudi Aramco plans gas investments of $150 bln over next decade - CEO
Ghosn suspected of shifting personal investment losses to Nissan -Asahi
(Danilo Masoni)
*****
MORNING CALL: TRUMP THREAT SETS EUROPE FOR SOFTER START (0627 GMT)
European shares are set for a sluggish start today with fresh worries over
an escalation in the trade dispute between Washington and Beijing offsetting
optimism over a possible Italian budget deal with Brussels that helped lift
markets in the previous session.
Over in Asia, shares inched higher as they fought to keep a global rebound
alive after U.S. President Donald Trump seemed to quash hopes of a trade truce
with China, clouding what had been a bright start to the week.
"The resilience seen in the Asian session is not looking spill over into the
European session, with bourses across Europe pointing to a softer start," says
Jasper Lawler, Head of Research at London Capital Group.
In an interview with the Wall Street Journal, Trump said he expected to move
ahead with raising tariffs on $200 billion in Chinese imports to 25 percent from
the current 10 percent and repeated his threat to slap tariffs on all remaining
imports from China.
And here are your opening calls, courtesy of LCG.
FTSE to open 6 point lower at 7030
DAX to open 9 points lower at 11343
CAC to open 4 points lower at 4990
(Danilo Masoni )
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