Advertisement
UK markets close in 2 hours 26 minutes
  • FTSE 100

    8,226.85
    +22.92 (+0.28%)
     
  • FTSE 250

    20,804.86
    +18.21 (+0.09%)
     
  • AIM

    774.85
    +0.46 (+0.06%)
     
  • GBP/EUR

    1.1839
    +0.0020 (+0.17%)
     
  • GBP/USD

    1.2840
    +0.0027 (+0.21%)
     
  • Bitcoin GBP

    44,506.41
    -132.03 (-0.30%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,224.95
    +58.84 (+5.04%)
     
  • S&P 500

    5,567.19
    +30.17 (+0.54%)
     
  • DOW

    39,375.87
    +67.87 (+0.17%)
     
  • CRUDE OIL

    82.68
    -0.48 (-0.58%)
     
  • GOLD FUTURES

    2,381.10
    -16.60 (-0.69%)
     
  • NIKKEI 225

    40,780.70
    -131.67 (-0.32%)
     
  • HANG SENG

    17,524.06
    -275.55 (-1.55%)
     
  • DAX

    18,553.86
    +78.41 (+0.42%)
     
  • CAC 40

    7,687.13
    +11.51 (+0.15%)
     

Silvercorp Metals' (TSE:SVM) investors will be pleased with their decent 53% return over the last five years

Generally speaking the aim of active stock picking is to find companies that provide returns that are superior to the market average. And while active stock picking involves risks (and requires diversification) it can also provide excess returns. For example, the Silvercorp Metals Inc. (TSE:SVM) share price is up 48% in the last 5 years, clearly besting the market return of around 37% (ignoring dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 30% in the last year, including dividends.

Now it's worth having a look at the company's fundamentals too, because that will help us determine if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.

View our latest analysis for Silvercorp Metals

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

ADVERTISEMENT

During five years of share price growth, Silvercorp Metals actually saw its EPS drop 2.8% per year.

By glancing at these numbers, we'd posit that the decline in earnings per share is not representative of how the business has changed over the years. Therefore, it's worth taking a look at other metrics to try to understand the share price movements.

The modest 0.7% dividend yield is unlikely to be propping up the share price. In contrast revenue growth of 5.9% per year is probably viewed as evidence that Silvercorp Metals is growing, a real positive. In that case, the company may be sacrificing current earnings per share to drive growth.

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
earnings-and-revenue-growth

We know that Silvercorp Metals has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. We note that for Silvercorp Metals the TSR over the last 5 years was 53%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that Silvercorp Metals shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 30% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 9% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. Given the share price momentum remains strong, it might be worth taking a closer look at the stock, lest you miss an opportunity. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Silvercorp Metals , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Canadian exchanges.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com