Advertisement
UK markets open in 4 hours 56 minutes
  • NIKKEI 225

    39,725.40
    +383.86 (+0.98%)
     
  • HANG SENG

    17,692.33
    -24.14 (-0.14%)
     
  • CRUDE OIL

    82.13
    +0.39 (+0.48%)
     
  • GOLD FUTURES

    2,331.70
    -4.90 (-0.21%)
     
  • DOW

    39,164.06
    +36.26 (+0.09%)
     
  • Bitcoin GBP

    49,108.15
    +791.73 (+1.64%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,290.36
    +24.22 (+1.91%)
     
  • NASDAQ Composite

    17,858.68
    +53.53 (+0.30%)
     
  • UK FTSE All Share

    4,460.27
    -20.39 (-0.46%)
     

Those who invested in CRA International (NASDAQ:CRAI) five years ago are up 433%

We think all investors should try to buy and hold high quality multi-year winners. And highest quality companies can see their share prices grow by huge amounts. Just think about the savvy investors who held CRA International, Inc. (NASDAQ:CRAI) shares for the last five years, while they gained 393%. And this is just one example of the epic gains achieved by some long term investors. It's also good to see the share price up 22% over the last quarter.

With that in mind, it's worth seeing if the company's underlying fundamentals have been the driver of long term performance, or if there are some discrepancies.

See our latest analysis for CRA International

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

ADVERTISEMENT

During five years of share price growth, CRA International achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 18% per year. This EPS growth is slower than the share price growth of 38% per year, over the same period. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. And that's hardly shocking given the track record of growth.

The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).

earnings-per-share-growth
earnings-per-share-growth

Before buying or selling a stock, we always recommend a close examination of historic growth trends, available here.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for CRA International the TSR over the last 5 years was 433%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that CRA International shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 72% over the last year. That's including the dividend. Since the one-year TSR is better than the five-year TSR (the latter coming in at 40% per year), it would seem that the stock's performance has improved in recent times. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand CRA International better, we need to consider many other factors. Even so, be aware that CRA International is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

But note: CRA International may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com