TREASURIES-U.S. yield curve flattest in 10 years after U.S. data
(Updates prices, adds comment, table, byline)
By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss
NEW YORK, Nov 15 (Reuters) - The U.S. Treasury yield curve
flattened to a 10-year low on Wednesday after data showed a
slight pickup in U.S. inflation, as the market priced in further
interest rate hikes from the Federal Reserve next year.
The flattening of the yield curve reflects expectations that
the Fed will continue to tighten interest rates, pushing yields
on the short end higher. At the same time, U.S. inflation,
although trending higher, will remain subdued, limiting yields
on longer-dated bonds.
The gap (Frankfurt: 863533 - news) between U.S. two-year note and U.S. 10-year note
yields contracted to 63 basis points, the flattest since
November 2007.
The difference in five-year and 30-year yields also narrowed
to 75 basis points, the flattest in nearly two
weeks.
U.S. consumer prices, meanwhile, barely rose in October, but
rising rents and healthcare costs pointed to a gradual buildup
in underlying inflation.
"What we saw today was actually good news on inflation: It
is normalizing and that is what the Fed wants," said Bruno
Braizinha, interest rates strategist, at Societe Generale (Swiss: 519928.SW - news) in New (KOSDAQ: 160550.KQ - news)
York.
Another report showed U.S. retail sales unexpectedly rose
0.2 percent in October, while the data for September was revised
to show sales jumping 1.9 percent rather than the previously
reported 1.6 percent advance.
"This morning's reports will be the last CPI and retail
sales reports the Fed will have before heading into their
December meeting, and we believe they clear the fairly low bar
set by Fed speakers for the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee)
to go ahead with a hike at next month’s meeting," said Michael
Feroli, an economist at JP Morgan in New York.
In midmorning trading, the 10-year Treasury yield
fell to 2.345 percent, from 2.381 percent late on
Tuesday.
The U.S. two-year yield was at 1.691 percent,
unchanged from Tuesday.
U.S. 30-year bond yields slid to 2.798 percent,
down from Tuesday's 2.839 percent.
November 15 Wednesday 10:26AM New York / 1526 GMT
Price
US T BONDS DEC7 153-24/32 0-28/32
10YR TNotes DEC7 125 0-68/256
Price Current Net
Yield % Change
(bps)
Three-month bills 1.2525 1.2739 0.003
Six-month bills 1.3675 1.3961 0.000
Two-year note 99-162/256 1.6915 0.000
Three-year note 99-218/256 1.8011 -0.011
Five-year note 99-208/256 2.0399 -0.025
Seven-year note 100-44/256 2.2231 -0.034
10-year note 99-44/256 2.3434 -0.038
30-year bond 99-12/256 2.7972 -0.042
DOLLAR SWAP SPREADS
Last (bps) Net (LSE: 0LN0.L - news)
Change
(bps)
U.S. 2-year dollar swap 17.50 -1.00
spread
U.S. 3-year dollar swap 17.00 0.00
spread
U.S. 5-year dollar swap 5.75 0.00
spread
U.S. 10-year dollar swap -1.75 0.25
spread
U.S. 30-year dollar swap -24.75 0.25
spread
(Reporting by Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss; Editing by Chizu
Nomiyama and Jonathan Oatis)