VEGOILS-Palm oil declines as ringgit strengthens
* Forecasts of higher production weigh on market
* Prices could start falling next month - trader
* Palm may test resistance at 3,169 ringgit - technicals
(Updates with latest prices)
By Emily Chow
KUALA LUMPUR, Jan 18 (Reuters) - Malaysian palm oil futures
fell on Wednesday evening on a strengthening ringgit and
forecasts of higher production.
The ringgit, in which palm is traded, gained 0.4 percent
against the dollar to 4.4430, its highest in more than a month.
A stronger ringgit makes palm oil more expensive for holders
of foreign currencies.
Benchmark palm oil futures for April delivery on
the Bursa Malaysia Derivatives Exchange had declined 0.3 percent
to 3,150 ringgit ($709) a tonne by the end of the trading day.
Traded volumes stood at 44,012 lots of 25 tonnes each on
Wednesday evening.
The market is down primarily due to the stronger ringgit,
and also on production that had been picking up slightly, said a
trader from Kuala Lumpur.
"Production will start picking up from February-March. We
expect it to rise after the Chinese New Year in a better way,
and then we'll see a fall in prices," he said.
The Lunar New Year celebrations in China begin on Jan. 28.
Supplies have declined in recent months on low output due to
the effects of a crop-damaging El Nino weather phenomenon.
Production in Malaysia, the world's second largest producer
after Indonesia, fell 6.4 percent in December from the previous
month to a seven-month low. (MYPOMP-CPOTT)
Industry players, however, forecast a rebound in the second
and the third quarter of 2017, as the lingering drought effects
of El Nino wear off and crops recover.
Palm oil output is seen rising by 12 percent this year to
19.4 million tonnes from 17.4 million tonnes in 2016, the
Malaysian Palm Oil Board (MPOB) said at a conference in Kuala
Lumpur on Tuesday.
Palm oil may test resistance at 3,169 ringgit as it has
climbed above a wedge chart pattern, analysis by Reuters market
analyst for commodities and energy technicals Wang Tao showed.
The March soybean oil contract on the CBOT rose 0.4
percent, while the May soybean oil contract on the Dalian
Commodity Exchange was up 0.1 percent.
In other related edible oils, the May contract for Dalian
palm olein declined 0.1 percent.
Palm, soy and crude oil prices at 1049 GMT
Contract Month Last Change Low High Volume
MY PALM OIL FEB7 3247 -12.00 3230 3268 880
MY PALM OIL MAR7 3188 -13.00 3173 3210 6454
MY PALM OIL APR7 3152 -9.00 3141 3175 20693
CHINA PALM OLEIN MAY7 6312 -8.00 6284 6356 451366
CHINA SOYOIL MAY7 7020 +6.00 6974 7052 374022
CBOT SOY OIL MAR7 35.7 +0.14 35.52 35.91 7991
INDIA PALM OIL JAN7 595.00 +0.20 593.60 597.3 767
INDIA SOYOIL JAN7 733.6 -0.85 732.8 734.3 1380
NYMEX CRUDE FEB7 51.69 -0.79 51.55 52.79 32711
Palm oil prices in Malaysian ringgit per tonne
CBOT soy oil in U.S. cents per pound
Dalian soy oil and RBD palm olein in Chinese yuan per tonne
India soy oil in Indian rupee per 10 kg
Crude in U.S. dollars per barrel
($1 = 4.4430 ringgit)
($1 = 68.0429 Indian rupees)
($1 = 6.8360 Chinese yuan)
(Reporting by Emily Chow; Editing by Subhranshu Sahu and David
Evans)