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Victoria and Melbourne Covid trend map: where coronavirus cases are rising or falling

Nick Evershed
·3-min read

A Guardian Australia analysis of coronavirus cases in Victoria shows where infections have been increasing, and where Covid-19 cases are on the decline.

Using data aggregated daily from the dashboard of the Victorian Department of Health and Human Services (DHHS) here, we calculate the number of new cases a day for every local government area in Victoria.

We then check to see if cases have increased or decreased over the past fortnight for each area that reported more than five cases during that period (see below for more details on the trend method used).

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The map is updated daily to track changes in each area over time.

You can use the buttons to show the previously locked-down postcode areas, which can overlap with multiple local government areas.

Map notes

This analysis is based on a daily scrape of LGA data from the DHHS dashboard. To get an idea if cases are increasing or decreasing over the fortnight, I’ve used the weekly change from a rolling seven-day average of daily new cases over the past 14 days. Because case counts can be adjusted retrospectively by DHHS, daily counts can be negative. These are set to zero for the purposes of the trend.

Please let me know if there are any issues with the map or data here: australia.coronatracking@theguardian.com

More Victoria Covid-19 data and maps

Below you can find all our Victorian coronavirus data, which is also available on our full Australia Covid-19 map and stats page.

Here you can see the total number of daily cases, split by those where the source of the infection was overseas, and those where it was acquired locally or still under investigation.

Coronavirus Victoria source of Covid-19 Vic daily cases infections locally acquired community transmission, overseas or under investigation

Here, you can see the trend in the source of Covid-19 cases over the whole length of the coronavirus pandemic in Victoria:

Victoria coronavirus covid-19 cases trend in source local community transmission and overseas

Here’s a more detailed breakdown for recent cases only, showing the number of cases each day that are from a known or unknown source, as well as those that are under investigation:

Victoria coronavirus Vic covid-19 cases source of infection since May

As the Victorian government increases testing, we might expect to see a rise in cases. This chart shows the percentage of positive cases per the number of tests conducted for both Victoria and NSW. A lower % positive rate is indicative of more widespread, less-targeted testing.

NSW and Victoria coronavirus testing rates Covid-19 cases percent positive Vic New South Wales

Generally the % positive rate in Australia is lower than many other countries, well below the threshold that the WHO has reccomended for adequate testing.

Other resources

  • Due to the unprecedented and ongoing nature of the coronavirus outbreak, this article is being regularly updated to ensure that it reflects the current situation at the date of publication. Any significant corrections made to this or previous versions of the article will continue to be footnoted in line with Guardian editorial policy.