|Bid||4,740.00 x 0|
|Ask||4,742.00 x 0|
|Day's range||4,674.00 - 4,752.00|
|52-week range||4,510.00 - 5,415.00|
|Beta (3Y monthly)||0.45|
|PE ratio (TTM)||25.85|
|Forward dividend & yield||0.79 (1.69%)|
|1y target est||5,017.35|
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(Bloomberg Opinion) -- Is your company immune to Brexit? With the looming threat of the U.K. leaving the EU without a withdrawal deal and a slim but rising risk of the pound plunging to parity with the dollar, more chief executives are telling investors they can handle any eventuality – however messy.Unfortunately, having a fully fleshed out Brexit contingency plan is a luxury not all firms can afford. Nor does it solve the question of how any company will cope if a no-deal departure crashes the economy.A hunt through Bloomberg’s trove of filings of company financial results throws up six publicly-traded companies that have labeled themselves “Brexit-proof,” or close to it. These are: healthcare facilities provider Primary Health Properties Plc; wealth manager Rathbone Brothers Plc; food producer Cranswick Plc; industrial real estate firm Stenprop Ltd.; Lloyd’s of London and the payments technology provider Net 1 UEPS Technologies Inc.Their confidence stems either from the niche products that they sell, their domestic U.K. supply chains (meaning less exposure to a sudden rise in tariff barriers to trade), or the fact that they’ll keep EU-based hubs that remove the uncertainty of regulatory hurdles.They’re not alone in their messages of comfort. Much of the finance world has had to prepare for the worst, including the likes of Barclays Plc, HSBC Holdings Plc and Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc. Other industries are joining the fray. “Leaving the EU without a deal is not corporate death for us, but it’s annoying,” the boss of the Volskwagen AG-owned luxury carmaker Bentley said this week. A no-deal scenario means only “mild disruption” for the retailer Next Plc, according to its CEO Simon Wolfson. Is this complacency or just sound planning?There are three big Brexit risks cited frequently by companies: Tariff barriers, non-tariff or regulatory hurdles, and logistical issues such as holdups at ports.On tariffs, the Confederation of British Industry lobby group has offered up some dire warnings, including textile imports from Turkey facing an average charge of 12% post-Brexit and vehicle exports to the EU getting whacked with a 10% levy. But some firms think they can take the pain. Next estimates 20 million pounds ($24 million) in additional input costs from import duties, equivalent to a 0.5% price increase on its clothing products. Chemicals producer Croda International Plc estimates a “mid-to-high single-digit million” impact from tariffs, a cost it would partly absorb and partly pass on to customers. Makers of higher end stuff, such as $200,000 Bentleys, will be confident of getting shoppers to fork out more if their costs go up.On the threat of more regulation and other non-tariff changes, some CEOs are equally sanguine. Croda’s management says it’s ready to re-register its products in the EU in the event of a no-deal departure. Next says there’s no reason why independent testing of its products would stop them being acceptable to Brussels regulators.On the fear about logistical snarl-ups in the immediate aftermath of a sudden U.K.-EU rupture, the more optimistic British bosses point to their stockpiling of goods and securing of alternative supply routes. Several say they’ve amassed six months’ worth of supply usually delivered from Europe. Bentley and Next say they can avoid the crowded Dover-Calais shipping route if it’s disrupted. “I’m much less frightened of no-deal,” says Wolfson.It’s important to remember, however, that all of this preparation costs money (and that Wolfson is a Conservative Party peer and leave voter). A look at Next’s 11-page Brexit contingency plan published last year shows an elaborate new structure to limit the pain. It has set up a German company through which it intends to shift more European sales and an Irish entity to handle orders there.Yet allocating millions to emergency plans means delaying investment or passing on the cost to suppliers or clients. Some companies can swallow this more easily than others. For Westley Group, a small foundry and engineering group, a loss of 2 million pounds in EU orders related to Brexit last year equated to 7% of its revenue. That’s significant.And managing to survive the worst ravages of a hard break with Europe won’t mean much if the U.K. economy is worse off. Investors are certainly betting that way by favoring the big, internationally diversified companies of the FTSE 100 over those that make most of their sales in Britain.The chart above shows a 13% performance gap over the past year between the shares of British exporters (which get most of their revenue overseas) and those of domestically-focused U.K. companies. It’s interesting that the latter group include companies that claim to be fully prepared such as Barclays.One thing CEOs can't control is investors’ own emergency plans.\--With assistance from Mark Gilbert .To contact the author of this story: Lionel Laurent at firstname.lastname@example.orgTo contact the editor responsible for this story: James Boxell at email@example.comThis column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of the editorial board or Bloomberg LP and its owners.Lionel Laurent is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist covering Brussels. He previously worked at Reuters and Forbes.For more articles like this, please visit us at bloomberg.com/opinion©2019 Bloomberg L.P.
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* STOXX 600 flat as FTSE 100 +1.8% * Defensive sectors, telecoms, healthcare rise * Trade-sensitive cars, luxury goods fall * Investors cautious as trade talks start, ahead of Fed * Just Eat and LSE soar on dealmaking Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of European equity markets brought to you by Reuters stocks reporters and anchored today by Thyagaraju Adinarayan. Reach him on Messenger to share your thoughts on market moves: rm://firstname.lastname@example.org CLOSING SNAPSHOT: WHAT A DAY FOR THE FTSE! (1618 GMT) The FTSE 100 was the stand out performer in Europe today with more weakness in the pound on no-deal Brexit worries and big dealmaking activity lifting the UK's top share index up 1.8% -- its biggest one day gain since February this year.
* STOXX 600 up 0.4% as FTSE 100 +1.8% * Defensive sectors, telecoms, healthcare rise * Trade-sensitive cars, luxury goods fall * Investors cautious as trade talks start, ahead of Fed * Just Eat and LSE soar on dealmaking Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of European equity markets brought to you by Reuters stocks reporters and anchored today by Thyagaraju Adinarayan. "With regard to potential WTO tariff structures, it could be a key test of business models and Croda, for example, commented last week that any tariffs incurred would be 'shared with customers'," analysts at the Swiss bank say.
* European shares dip from 2-week highs, STOXX down 0.2% * Euro zone business growth stalls in July, outlook darkens * Earnings in focus in Europe and U.S. ahead of ECB meeting * Deutsche Bank posts 3.15 bln euro Q2 loss, shares fall * Chips rally after ASMI, Texas Instruments results * Signs of progress in trade talks support Asian shares Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of European equity markets brought to you by Reuters stocks reporters and anchored today by Danilo Masoni. Consensus is for the ECB to cut its deposit rate in September and while today's data may not be enough for immediate action it will surely give more ammunition to the doves. Vailati says he still expects a rate cut along with a relaunch of QE in September when the ECB is due to update its macro forecasts.
Chemicals group Croda, which makes ingredients for cosmetics companies, on Wednesday said the U.S./China trade war and new Chinese sales laws contributed to a fall in first-half profits, which came in below expectations. The British company, which also supplies agrochemicals and auto industries, said sales in constant currency were 3.6% lower at its personal care business, which accounts for 40% of annual revenue. Croda said this was due to the U.S./China trade war which had weighed heavily on consumer confidence, together with new legislation on "Daigou" cross-border selling in China.
* European shares open little changed * Earnings in focus in Europe and U.S. * Deutsche Bank posts 3.15 bln euro Q2 loss, shares fall * Eyes on PMIs ahead of tomorrow's ECB meeting * Signs of progress in trade talks support Asian shares * Chips rally after ASMI, Texas Instruments results Welcome to the home for real-time coverage of European equity markets brought to you by Reuters stocks reporters and anchored today by Danilo Masoni. Reach him on Messenger to share your thoughts on market moves: email@example.com STOXX STEADY, DB DOWN, ASMI ADDS SHINE TO CHIPS, ITV TOP GAINER (0732 GMT) The pan-European STOXX 600 benchmark is managing to hold near the over two-week highs hit in the previous session, trading just about flat as investors digest a deluge of earnings.
The British company, which also supplies agrochemicals and auto industries, said sales in constant currency were 3.6% lower at its personal care business, which accounts for 40% of annual revenue. Croda said this was due to the U.S./China trade war which had weighed heavily on consumer confidence, together with new legislation on "Daigou" cross-border selling in China.
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Britain's main share index scaled a more than ten-month high on Tuesday driven by gains in internationally exposed stocks that benefited from a weaker sterling. The FTSE 100, whose components book a major chunk of their revenue from overseas, gained 0.8% and hit its highest level since August 2018. The more domestically focused mid-cap index, the FTSE 250, edged 0.1% higher but was subdued as the pound slipped after a survey showed Britain's construction industry suffered its worst month in more than 10 years in June.
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