Advertisement
UK markets closed
  • FTSE 100

    8,203.93
    -37.33 (-0.45%)
     
  • FTSE 250

    20,786.65
    +176.31 (+0.86%)
     
  • AIM

    774.39
    +4.97 (+0.65%)
     
  • GBP/EUR

    1.1819
    +0.0021 (+0.18%)
     
  • GBP/USD

    1.2813
    +0.0052 (+0.41%)
     
  • Bitcoin GBP

    44,887.94
    +637.54 (+1.44%)
     
  • CMC Crypto 200

    1,192.15
    -16.54 (-1.37%)
     
  • S&P 500

    5,567.19
    +30.17 (+0.54%)
     
  • DOW

    39,375.87
    +67.87 (+0.17%)
     
  • CRUDE OIL

    83.44
    -0.44 (-0.52%)
     
  • GOLD FUTURES

    2,399.80
    +30.40 (+1.28%)
     
  • NIKKEI 225

    40,912.37
    -1.28 (-0.00%)
     
  • HANG SENG

    17,799.61
    -228.67 (-1.27%)
     
  • DAX

    18,475.45
    +24.97 (+0.14%)
     
  • CAC 40

    7,675.62
    -20.16 (-0.26%)
     

Selective Insurance Group, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:SIGI) Stock Has Been Sliding But Fundamentals Look Strong: Is The Market Wrong?

It is hard to get excited after looking at Selective Insurance Group's (NASDAQ:SIGI) recent performance, when its stock has declined 12% over the past three months. However, a closer look at its sound financials might cause you to think again. Given that fundamentals usually drive long-term market outcomes, the company is worth looking at. Specifically, we decided to study Selective Insurance Group's ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

View our latest analysis for Selective Insurance Group

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

ADVERTISEMENT

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Selective Insurance Group is:

12% = US$355m ÷ US$3.0b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each $1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made $0.12 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Selective Insurance Group's Earnings Growth And 12% ROE

At first glance, Selective Insurance Group seems to have a decent ROE. Even when compared to the industry average of 13% the company's ROE looks quite decent. Consequently, this likely laid the ground for the decent growth of 6.2% seen over the past five years by Selective Insurance Group.

As a next step, we compared Selective Insurance Group's net income growth with the industry and were disappointed to see that the company's growth is lower than the industry average growth of 7.9% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
past-earnings-growth

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. What is SIGI worth today? The intrinsic value infographic in our free research report helps visualize whether SIGI is currently mispriced by the market.

Is Selective Insurance Group Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

In Selective Insurance Group's case, its respectable earnings growth can probably be explained by its low three-year median payout ratio of 23% (or a retention ratio of 77%), which suggests that the company is investing most of its profits to grow its business.

Additionally, Selective Insurance Group has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders.

Conclusion

In total, we are pretty happy with Selective Insurance Group's performance. In particular, it's great to see that the company is investing heavily into its business and along with a high rate of return, that has resulted in a respectable growth in its earnings. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com